Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Audi Field
DC United — Red Bull New York
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
DC United are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 27%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings DC United are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: DC United — No. 26, 30 pts; Red Bull New York — No. 18, 36 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- DC United: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: DC United 1 win, Red Bull New York 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: DC United — Red Bull New York What is xG? | 1.8–1.5 | |
| DC United not to lose | 71% | |
| Red Bull New York not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap DC United
- DC United goals
- Red Bull New York goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Inter Miami CF0:4
- 27.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps3:3
- 20.09Charlotte FC1:2
- 13.09Atlanta United0:0
- 10.09Columbus Crew2:1
- 11.10San Diego FC4:1
- 01.10St. Louis City0:3
- 19.09away · New York City FC1:0
- 13.09away · Columbus Crew1:0
- 10.09away · Los Angeles FC0:2
Head to head
- 23.04.2026Red Bull New York — DC United4:4
- 25.05.2025DC United — Red Bull New York0:2
- 20.04.2025Red Bull New York — DC United1:2
- 30.06.2024Red Bull New York — DC United2:2
- 16.05.2024DC United — Red Bull New York1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | LA Galaxy | 29 | 9 | -11 | 36 |
| 18, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Red Bull New York | 28 | 10 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | +4 | 33 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
MLS on the same day
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4825261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3528372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →