Tanzania Premier League, round 8 · Monday, 12 October, MSK
Coastal Union — Singida Black Stars
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In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Singida Black Stars to win (38%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 38% fails in about 62 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Coastal Union 33%, Singida Black Stars 38%, draw 29%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Singida Black Stars are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Coastal Union: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Coastal Union 3 wins, Singida Black Stars 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coastal Union — Singida Black Stars What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Coastal Union not to lose | 62% | |
| Singida Black Stars not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Coastal Union
- Coastal Union goals
- Singida Black Stars goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 09.10Azam FC0:2
- 12.09JKT Tanzania2:1
- 06.09away · Polisi Tanzania FC2:1
- 27.08away · Simba SC0:1
- 24.08TRA United1:1
- 09.10away · Dodoma Jiji FC1:1
- 09.09away · Mashujaa1:2
- 01.09Namungo FC3:2
- 29.08Polisi Tanzania FC4:2
- 22.08Simba SC1:2
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Coastal Union — Singida Black Stars2:1
- 02.03.2026Singida Black Stars — Coastal Union1:0
- 10.04.2025Coastal Union — Singida Black Stars2:1
- 02.11.2024Singida Black Stars — Coastal Union0:0
- 14.03.2024Coastal Union — Singida Black Stars1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo FC | 8 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
Next matches
- Singida Black StarsTRA United24 October · Tanzania Premier League · preliminary6024171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Namungo FCCoastal Union24 October · Tanzania Premier League · preliminary4231271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →