Chilean Liga de Primera, round 26 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Coquimbo Unido — Unión La Calera
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Coquimbo Unido are clear favourites: 66% against 14% for the opponent, draw 20%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Coquimbo Unido are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Coquimbo Unido — No. 8, 32 pts; Unión La Calera — No. 16, 18 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Coquimbo Unido 4 wins, Unión La Calera 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coquimbo Unido — Unión La Calera What is xG? | 1.9–0.8 | |
| Coquimbo Unido not to lose | 86% | |
| Unión La Calera not to lose | 34% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido goals
- Unión La Calera goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Colo Colo5:2
- 17.09Huachipato0:1
- 12.09away · Cobresal2:3
- 06.09away · Universidad de Chile2:4
- 03.09Universidad de Concepción1:0
- 11.10away · Deportes Concepción1:1
- 15.09Deportes Limache1:0
- 06.09away · O'Higgins1:2
- 01.09La Serena0:1
- 22.08away · Audax Italiano0:0
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Unión La Calera — Coquimbo Unido1:2
- 02.11.2025Coquimbo Unido — Unión La Calera2:0
- 17.05.2025Unión La Calera — Coquimbo Unido0:1
- 03.11.2024Coquimbo Unido — Unión La Calera0:0
- 25.05.2024Unión La Calera — Coquimbo Unido1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 9 | +2 | 32 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepción | 24 | 9 | -1 | 32 |
| 15, Relegation | Universidad de Concepción | 24 | 6 | -22 | 23 |
| 16, Relegation | Unión La Calera | 24 | 4 | -21 | 18 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- Colo ColoUniversidad de Concepciónpreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Universidad CatólicaUniversidad de Chilepreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- CobresalEverton CDpreliminary3526402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- Deportes LimacheAudax Italianopreliminary4924271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- O'HigginsÑublensepreliminary4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- HuachipatoLa Serenapreliminary5024261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Deportes ConcepciónPalestinopreliminary362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →