Russian Cup, round 4 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · VEB Arena
CSKA Moscow — FC Rostov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
CSKA Moscow are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CSKA Moscow are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- CSKA Moscow: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSKA Moscow — FC Rostov What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| CSKA Moscow not to lose | 75% | |
| FC Rostov not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow goals
- FC Rostov goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Rodina3:0
- 17.09away · Dynamo Makhachkala3:1
- 12.09Rubin Kazan1:1
- 05.09away · Zenit St. Petersburg2:1
- 01.09away · FC Rostov0:2
- 09.10Akron Togliatti1:0
- 17.09Dinamo Moscow0:3
- 13.09away · Spartak Moscow0:3
- 05.09Fakel3:1
- 01.09CSKA Moscow2:0
Head to head
- 01.09.2026FC Rostov — CSKA Moscow2:0
- 08.08.2026CSKA Moscow — FC Rostov0:0
- 21.04.2026CSKA Moscow — FC Rostov1:1
- 14.09.2025FC Rostov — CSKA Moscow1:0
- 01.06.2025FC Rostov — CSKA Moscow0:0
Russian Cup on the same day
- 5424221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 3226422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 1017732The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- 1722602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →