Russian Cup, round 4 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Anzhi Arena
Dynamo Makhachkala — Zenit St. Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Zenit St. Petersburg are clear favourites: 73% against 10% for the opponent, draw 17%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Zenit St. Petersburg are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Dynamo Makhachkala: 3 defeats in a row; Zenit St. Petersburg: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Dynamo Makhachkala 0 wins, Zenit St. Petersburg 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dynamo Makhachkala — Zenit St. Petersburg What is xG? | 0.8–2.4 | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala not to lose | 27% | |
| Zenit St. Petersburg not to lose | 90% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Dynamo Makhachkala
- Dynamo Makhachkala goals
- Zenit St. Petersburg goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · FC Orenburg0:4
- 17.09CSKA Moscow1:3
- 13.09away · FK Akhmat2:3
- 06.09Rodina2:0
- 02.09away · Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
- 10.10away · FC Krasnodar3:2
- 16.09away · Baltika3:2
- 12.09Lokomotiv Moscow2:1
- 05.09CSKA Moscow1:2
- 02.09Dynamo Makhachkala3:0
Head to head
- 02.09.2026Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Makhachkala3:0
- 19.04.2026Dynamo Makhachkala — Zenit St. Petersburg0:1
- 18.03.2026Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Makhachkala1:0
- 23.08.2025Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Makhachkala4:0
- 10.05.2025Dynamo Makhachkala — Zenit St. Petersburg0:1
Russian Cup on the same day
- 5424221The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.9
- 3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 3226422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 1722602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →