Russian Cup, round 4 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Solidarnost Samara Arena
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Baltika
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Baltika are slightly stronger: 42% against 32%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Baltika are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Baltika: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Krylya Sovetov Samara — Baltika What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Krylya Sovetov Samara not to lose | 58% | |
| Baltika not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Krylya Sovetov Samara
- Krylya Sovetov Samara goals
- Baltika goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10Spartak Moscow1:1
- 16.09away · Lokomotiv Moscow1:1
- 11.09Rodina2:1
- 05.09FC Krasnodar2:2
- 02.09away · Baltika0:0
- 11.10away · FK Akhmat0:0
- 16.09Zenit St. Petersburg2:3
- 12.09away · Fakel2:2
- 06.09Lokomotiv Moscow0:1
- 02.09Krylya Sovetov Samara0:0
Head to head
- 02.09.2026Baltika — Krylya Sovetov Samara0:0
- 08.08.2026Krylya Sovetov Samara — Baltika0:2
- 07.12.2025Baltika — Krylya Sovetov Samara2:0
- 09.08.2025Krylya Sovetov Samara — Baltika1:1
- 20.04.2024Baltika — Krylya Sovetov Samara2:1
Russian Cup on the same day
- 5424221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 1017732The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- 1722602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →