Russian Cup, round 5 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Futbol-Arena Enisey

FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Kaluga

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Model prediction for 14 October

FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk59%
Draw23%
Kaluga18%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk are clear favourites: 59% against 18% for the opponent, draw 23%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Kaluga What is xG?1.9–1.0
FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk not to lose82%
Kaluga not to lose41%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
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  • Kaluga goals
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Form

FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

  • 15.10FC Ufa1:1
  • 18.10away · FC Volgar0:1
  • 26.05away · Zenit St. Petersburg1:4
  • 19.05Dinamo Moscow2:2
  • 11.05FC Krasnodar0:4

Kaluga

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Russian Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →