Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Audi Field
DC United — Red Bull New York
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
DC United are slightly stronger: 43% against 30%, draw 27%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings DC United are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: DC United — Red Bull New York What is xG? | 1.8–1.5 | |
| DC United not to lose | 70% | |
| Red Bull New York not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap DC United
- DC United goals
- Red Bull New York goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Inter Miami CF0:4
- 27.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps3:3
- 20.09Charlotte FC1:2
- 13.09Atlanta United0:0
- 10.09Columbus Crew2:1
- 11.10San Diego FC4:1
- 01.10St. Louis City0:3
- 19.09away · New York City FC1:0
- 13.09away · Columbus Crew1:0
- 10.09away · Los Angeles FC0:2
Head to head
- 23.04.2026Red Bull New York — DC United4:4
- 25.05.2025DC United — Red Bull New York0:2
- 20.04.2025Red Bull New York — DC United1:2
- 30.06.2024Red Bull New York — DC United2:2
- 16.05.2024DC United — Red Bull New York1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | LA Galaxy | 29 | 9 | -11 | 36 |
| 18, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Red Bull New York | 28 | 10 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | +4 | 33 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
MLS on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →