Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Defensa y Justicia — Instituto
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Defensa y Justicia are slightly stronger: 39% against 30%, draw 31%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Instituto are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Defensa y Justicia: unbeaten in 4; Instituto: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 3 meetings: Defensa y Justicia 1 win, Instituto 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Defensa y Justicia — Instituto What is xG? | 1.2–1.0 | |
| Defensa y Justicia not to lose | 70% | |
| Instituto not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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- Handicap Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia goals
- Instituto goals
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Form
- 10.10away · Unión2:0
- 03.10San Lorenzo3:0
- 19.09away · Central Córdoba de Santiago2:2
- 12.09Gimnasia Mendoza2:0
- 06.09away · Lanús0:1
- 10.10Boca Juniors2:2
- 03.10away · Independiente4:1
- 20.09Talleres3:1
- 15.09Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
- 08.09away · Unión2:3
Head to head
- 07.04.2026Instituto — Defensa y Justicia2:0
- 24.08.2024Instituto — Defensa y Justicia4:1
- 15.04.2023Defensa y Justicia — Instituto1:0
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 6821111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 2530452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.2
- 363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- 4331261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →