Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Club Atlético Platense — Lanús

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Model prediction for 17 October

Club Atlético Platense36%
Draw31%
Lanús33%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Club Atlético Platense 36%, Lanús 33%, draw 31%.

2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 41%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Lanús: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Club Atlético Platense 0 wins, Lanús 2, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Club Atlético Platense — Lanús What is xG?1.0–1.0
Club Atlético Platense not to lose67%
Lanús not to lose64%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes41%
Both teams to score: no59%
Total over 2.532%
Total under 2.568%

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  • Handicap Club Atlético Platense
  • Club Atlético Platense goals
  • Lanús goals
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Form

Club Atlético Platense

  • 11.10Argentinos Juniors1:1
  • 06.10away · Vélez Sarsfield2:2
  • 02.10Estudiantes1:0
  • 20.09Newell's Old Boys0:1
  • 16.09Fluminense2:1

Lanús

  • 12.10Vélez Sarsfield2:0
  • 03.10away · Newell's Old Boys0:0
  • 22.09Estudiantes2:1
  • 15.09away · Deportivo Riestra3:0
  • 06.09Defensa y Justicia1:0

Head to head

  • 02.04.2026Lanús — Club Atlético Platense0:0
  • 20.09.2025Lanús — Club Atlético Platense2:1
  • 09.03.2025Club Atlético Platense — Lanús0:0
  • 12.11.2024Lanús — Club Atlético Platense0:0
  • 01.07.2023Club Atlético Platense — Lanús0:1

Full record: 7 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →