Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Boca Juniors — Talleres

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Model prediction for 17 October

Boca Juniors68%
Draw21%
Talleres11%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Boca Juniors are clear favourites: 68% against 11% for the opponent, draw 21%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 42%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Boca Juniors are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Boca Juniors — Talleres What is xG?1.8–0.7
Boca Juniors not to lose89%
Talleres not to lose32%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes42%
Both teams to score: no58%
Total over 2.545%
Total under 2.555%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Boca Juniors
  • Boca Juniors goals
  • Talleres goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Boca Juniors

  • 10.10away · Instituto2:2
  • 03.10Unión3:0
  • 27.09away · Racing Club3:2
  • 20.09away · San Lorenzo2:0
  • 16.09away · São Paulo1:1

Talleres

  • 12.10Independiente0:0
  • 04.10Belgrano0:1
  • 20.09away · Instituto1:3
  • 13.09Unión2:1
  • 06.09away · San Lorenzo0:1

Head to head

  • 03.04.2026Talleres — Boca Juniors0:1
  • 24.11.2025Boca Juniors — Talleres2:0
  • 08.09.2024Boca Juniors — Talleres1:1
  • 26.05.2024Boca Juniors — Talleres0:0
  • 16.10.2023Talleres — Boca Juniors1:1

Full record: 9 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →