Chilean Liga de Primera, round 26 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Deportes Limache — Audax Italiano

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Model prediction for 1 November

Deportes Limache49%
Draw24%
Audax Italiano27%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Deportes Limache are clear favourites: 49% against 27% for the opponent, draw 24%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 59%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Deportes Limache are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Deportes Limache — No. 6, 34 pts; Audax Italiano — No. 12, 28 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Last 3 meetings: Deportes Limache 1 win, Audax Italiano 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Deportes Limache — Audax Italiano What is xG?1.7–1.2
Deportes Limache not to lose73%
Audax Italiano not to lose51%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes59%
Both teams to score: no41%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

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  • Handicap Deportes Limache
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Form

Deportes Limache

  • 12.10Palestino2:2
  • 15.09away · Unión La Calera0:1
  • 08.09Cobresal3:0
  • 03.09Ñublense2:0
  • 30.08Everton CD0:3

Audax Italiano

  • 14.09O'Higgins1:0
  • 05.09away · Deportes Concepción1:0
  • 31.08away · Colo Colo1:5
  • 22.08Unión La Calera0:0
  • 16.08away · Everton CD1:1

Head to head

  • 25.04.2026Audax Italiano — Deportes Limache2:2
  • 12.08.2025Deportes Limache — Audax Italiano4:0
  • 09.03.2025Audax Italiano — Deportes Limache3:1

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5Palestino24114938–35+337
6Deportes Limache241041045–37+834
7Huachipato241041034–39-534
11La Serena2479836–41-530
12Audax Italiano2377926–31-528
13O'Higgins24831328–38-1027

Season 2026

Full table

Chilean Primera on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →