Russian Premier League, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Dinamo Moscow — FK Akhmat
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dinamo Moscow are clear favourites: 57% against 17% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Dinamo Moscow are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Dinamo Moscow — No. 2, 22 pts; FK Akhmat — No. 11, 11 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Dinamo Moscow: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Dinamo Moscow 2 wins, FK Akhmat 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dinamo Moscow — FK Akhmat What is xG? | 1.7–0.9 | |
| Dinamo Moscow not to lose | 83% | |
| FK Akhmat not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow goals
- FK Akhmat goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · FK Akhmat2:1
- 11.10away · Rubin Kazan1:0
- 17.09away · FC Rostov3:0
- 12.09FC Orenburg1:0
- 06.09Spartak Moscow2:1
- 14.10Dinamo Moscow1:2
- 11.10Baltika0:0
- 17.09away · Akron Togliatti0:2
- 13.09Dynamo Makhachkala3:2
- 07.09away · Rubin Kazan1:1
Head to head
- 14.10.2026FK Akhmat — Dinamo Moscow1:2
- 03.09.2026Dinamo Moscow — FK Akhmat3:0
- 30.11.2025FK Akhmat — Dinamo Moscow2:1
- 19.10.2025Dinamo Moscow — FK Akhmat2:2
- 02.12.2024FK Akhmat — Dinamo Moscow1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | +9 | 22 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | +7 | 22 |
| 3 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 10 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Akhmat | 10 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | FC Rostov | 10 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- Rubin KazanFakelpreliminary4432241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- RodinaFC Krasnodarpreliminary1423622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →