Tanzania Premier League, round 7 · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Dodoma Jiji FC — Singida Black Stars

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Model prediction and result

1:1Missed
Dodoma Jiji FC29%
Draw30%
Singida Black Stars42%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Singida Black Stars to win (42%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 42% fails in about 58 matches out of 100 on average.

Singida Black Stars are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 30%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Singida Black Stars are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Dodoma Jiji FC: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dodoma Jiji FC 1 win, Singida Black Stars 3, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dodoma Jiji FC — Singida Black Stars What is xG?1.1–1.4
Dodoma Jiji FC not to lose58%
Singida Black Stars not to lose71%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.547%
Total under 2.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Dodoma Jiji FC
  • Dodoma Jiji FC goals
  • Singida Black Stars goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Dodoma Jiji FC

  • 11.09Namungo FC1:0
  • 04.09Mashujaa1:0
  • 29.08away · TRA United1:0
  • 25.08Polisi Tanzania FC0:1
  • 19.08away · Mbeya City0:2

Singida Black Stars

  • 09.09away · Mashujaa1:2
  • 01.09Namungo FC3:2
  • 29.08Polisi Tanzania FC4:2
  • 22.08Simba SC1:2
  • 19.08away · Kagera Sugar1:1

Head to head

  • 17.06.2026Singida Black Stars — Dodoma Jiji FC5:0
  • 16.01.2026Dodoma Jiji FC — Singida Black Stars1:1
  • 18.06.2025Dodoma Jiji FC — Singida Black Stars1:2
  • 12.12.2024Singida Black Stars — Dodoma Jiji FC2:1
  • 25.05.2024Singida Black Stars — Dodoma Jiji FC0:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Mashujaa84049–13-412
5Singida Black Stars832314–11+311
6Dodoma Jiji FC73225–5011
7Polisi Tanzania FC731310–9+110

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • Coastal UnionSingida Black Stars12 October · Tanzania Premier League
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
  • Geita Gold FCDodoma Jiji FC16 October · Tanzania Premier League
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

  • XThe most likely outcome did not happen: XFinal score 1:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.1
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →