Tanzania Premier League, round 7 · Friday, 9 October, MSK
Dodoma Jiji FC — Singida Black Stars
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1:1Missed
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Singida Black Stars to win (42%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 42% fails in about 58 matches out of 100 on average.
Singida Black Stars are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 30%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Singida Black Stars are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dodoma Jiji FC — Singida Black Stars What is xG? | 1.1–1.4 | |
| Dodoma Jiji FC not to lose | 58% | |
| Singida Black Stars not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Dodoma Jiji FC
- Dodoma Jiji FC goals
- Singida Black Stars goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.09Namungo FC1:0
- 04.09Mashujaa1:0
- 29.08away · TRA United1:0
- 25.08Polisi Tanzania FC0:1
- 19.08away · Mbeya City0:2
- 09.09away · Mashujaa1:2
- 01.09Namungo FC3:2
- 29.08Polisi Tanzania FC4:2
- 22.08Simba SC1:2
- 19.08away · Kagera Sugar1:1
Head to head
- 17.06.2026Singida Black Stars — Dodoma Jiji FC5:0
- 16.01.2026Dodoma Jiji FC — Singida Black Stars1:1
- 18.06.2025Dodoma Jiji FC — Singida Black Stars1:2
- 12.12.2024Singida Black Stars — Dodoma Jiji FC2:1
- 25.05.2024Singida Black Stars — Dodoma Jiji FC0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 7 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
Next matches
- Coastal UnionSingida Black Stars12 October · Tanzania Premier League3329382The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
- Geita Gold FCDodoma Jiji FC16 October · Tanzania Premier League5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- 333136XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.1
- 5826161The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 2030502The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →