Tanzania Premier League, round 7 · Friday, 9 October, MSK
Coastal Union — Azam FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:2Came true
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Azam FC to win (50%), came true.
Azam FC are clear favourites: 50% against 20% for the opponent, draw 30%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Azam FC are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Coastal Union 0 wins, Azam FC 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coastal Union — Azam FC What is xG? | 0.8–1.3 | |
| Coastal Union not to lose | 50% | |
| Azam FC not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Coastal Union
- Coastal Union goals
- Azam FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.09JKT Tanzania2:1
- 06.09away · Polisi Tanzania FC2:1
- 27.08away · Simba SC0:1
- 24.08TRA United1:1
- 20.08away · Young Africans1:4
- 16.09Simba SC0:2
- 07.09Namungo FC2:0
- 31.08away · Kagera Sugar2:0
- 28.08away · Geita Gold FC2:2
- 23.08Pamba Jiji2:1
Head to head
- 27.06.2026Coastal Union — Azam FC0:2
- 17.01.2026Azam FC — Coastal Union3:0
- 19.02.2025Coastal Union — Azam FC0:0
- 22.09.2024Azam FC — Coastal Union1:0
- 06.03.2024Azam FC — Coastal Union1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam FC | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo FC | 8 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
Next matches
- Coastal UnionSingida Black Stars12 October · Tanzania Premier League3329382The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
- Azam FCMashujaa24 October · Tanzania Premier League · preliminary831341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- 333136XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.1
- 5826161The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 2930422The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →