French Ligue 2, round 8 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Stade Marcel-Tribut

Dunkerque — Annecy FC

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Model prediction and result

0:1Missed
Dunkerque36%
Draw29%
Annecy FC35%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (29%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 29% fails in about 71 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Dunkerque 36%, Annecy FC 35%, draw 29%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Dunkerque 1 win, Annecy FC 3, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dunkerque — Annecy FC What is xG?1.3–1.3
Dunkerque not to lose65%
Annecy FC not to lose64%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.549%
Total under 2.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Dunkerque
  • Dunkerque goals
  • Annecy FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Dunkerque

  • 18.09away · Pau0:2
  • 12.09Saint-Étienne2:1
  • 04.09Clermont Foot1:1
  • 28.08away · Nancy0:2
  • 21.08Montpellier0:1

Annecy FC

  • 18.09Dijon1:2
  • 12.09away · Guingamp1:2
  • 04.09away · Grenoble2:1
  • 29.08Metz1:1
  • 24.08away · Reims1:3

Head to head

  • 31.01.2026Dunkerque — Annecy FC0:1
  • 16.08.2025Annecy FC — Dunkerque2:2
  • 27.01.2025Annecy FC — Dunkerque0:2
  • 16.08.2024Dunkerque — Annecy FC0:2
  • 30.03.2024Dunkerque — Annecy FC0:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5, Promotion play-offsNancy84139–7+213
6Annecy FC841310–9+113
7Dijon833214–12+212
11Guingamp822410–13-38
12Dunkerque822410–13-38
13Nantes82249–13-48

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • Annecy FCNancy16 October · Ligue 2
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
  • NantesDunkerque17 October · Ligue 2
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
  • XThe most likely outcome did not happen: XFinal score 1:0. Model's score: 2:2.2.9
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.7
  • XThe most likely outcome came true: XFinal score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.2.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →