Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Toyota Stadium
FC Dallas — Seattle Sounders FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Evenly matched: FC Dallas 39%, Seattle Sounders FC 32%, draw 29%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Dallas — Seattle Sounders FC What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| FC Dallas not to lose | 68% | |
| Seattle Sounders FC not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Dallas
- FC Dallas goals
- Seattle Sounders FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Charlotte FC2:3
- 27.09Los Angeles FC1:0
- 20.09Austin FC0:0
- 13.09Portland Timbers2:1
- 10.09away · Minnesota United2:1
- 11.10away · New England Revolution3:0
- 02.10Sporting Kansas City2:1
- 27.09Minnesota United3:1
- 24.09Real Salt Lake2:0
- 20.09away · Colorado Rapids3:3
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Seattle Sounders FC — FC Dallas2:1
- 24.05.2025Seattle Sounders FC — FC Dallas1:0
- 13.04.2025FC Dallas — Seattle Sounders FC0:1
- 23.06.2024Seattle Sounders FC — FC Dallas3:2
- 14.04.2024FC Dallas — Seattle Sounders FC0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | +11 | 42 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
MLS on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →