Kazakhstan Premier League, round 30 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
FC Yelimay — Okzhetpes Kokshetau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Yelimay are slightly stronger: 46% against 29%, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Yelimay are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: FC Yelimay — No. 6, 41 pts; Okzhetpes Kokshetau — No. 5, 45 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 3 meetings: FC Yelimay 0 wins, Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Yelimay — Okzhetpes Kokshetau What is xG? | 1.8–1.4 | |
| FC Yelimay not to lose | 71% | |
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Yelimay
- FC Yelimay goals
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Atyrau2:1
- 10.10Aktobe1:3
- 17.09away · Tobol Kostanay2:0
- 12.09Zhetysu Taldykorgan2:1
- 06.09away · FC Astana0:4
- 11.10away · Ulytau0:2
- 18.09Zhenis3:1
- 13.09away · Irtysh Pavlodar1:2
- 05.09Ordabasy Shymkent2:1
- 29.08away · Kaisar Kyzylorda3:2
Head to head
- 07.03.2026Okzhetpes Kokshetau — FC Yelimay1:1
- 02.08.2025Okzhetpes Kokshetau — FC Yelimay1:1
- 04.05.2025FC Yelimay — Okzhetpes Kokshetau0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | +9 | 45 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 27 | 13 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 | FC Yelimay | 27 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 27 | 11 | -1 | 37 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- Irtysh PavlodarOrdabasy Shymkentpreliminary1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Kairat AlmatyFC Altai Oskemenpreliminary821261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Kaspiy AktauFC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovskpreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Tobol KostanayAktobepreliminary4027321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UlytauAtyraupreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- ZhenisKaisar Kyzylordapreliminary5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Zhetysu TaldykorganFC Astanapreliminary1322652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →