Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Gimnasia LP — Sarmiento
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gimnasia LP are clear favourites: 57% against 18% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gimnasia LP are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Gimnasia LP: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Gimnasia LP 2 wins, Sarmiento 0, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gimnasia LP — Sarmiento What is xG? | 1.6–0.8 | |
| Gimnasia LP not to lose | 82% | |
| Sarmiento not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gimnasia LP
- Gimnasia LP goals
- Sarmiento goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Atlético Tucumán1:1
- 03.10away · Independiente Rivadavia1:1
- 19.09Banfield2:2
- 13.09away · Argentinos Juniors1:1
- 05.09Tigre2:1
- 09.10away · Aldosivi3:1
- 19.09away · Racing Club1:3
- 13.09Belgrano1:1
- 04.09away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:0
- 29.08away · Unión1:4
Head to head
- 13.04.2026Sarmiento — Gimnasia LP1:2
- 04.10.2025Sarmiento — Gimnasia LP0:1
- 30.03.2025Gimnasia LP — Sarmiento0:0
- 18.10.2024Sarmiento — Gimnasia LP1:1
- 27.05.2023Gimnasia LP — Sarmiento0:0
Liga Profesional on the same day
- Gimnasia MendozaClub Atlético Platensepreliminary373230XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.2
- TigreAtlético Tucumánpreliminary5128201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- BanfieldLanúspreliminary2530452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.3
- TalleresDefensa y Justiciapreliminary4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →