Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Talleres — Defensa y Justicia

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Model prediction for 24 October

Talleres42%
Draw29%
Defensa y Justicia29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Talleres are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Talleres are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Talleres — Defensa y Justicia What is xG?1.3–1.1
Talleres not to lose71%
Defensa y Justicia not to lose58%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.543%
Total under 2.557%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Talleres
  • Talleres goals
  • Defensa y Justicia goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Talleres

  • 12.10Independiente0:0
  • 04.10Belgrano0:1
  • 20.09away · Instituto1:3
  • 13.09Unión2:1
  • 06.09away · San Lorenzo0:1

Defensa y Justicia

  • 10.10away · Unión2:0
  • 03.10San Lorenzo3:0
  • 19.09away · Central Córdoba de Santiago2:2
  • 12.09Gimnasia Mendoza2:0
  • 06.09away · Lanús0:1

Head to head

  • 13.04.2026Defensa y Justicia — Talleres1:2
  • 24.07.2024Talleres — Defensa y Justicia1:1
  • 12.03.2023Defensa y Justicia — Talleres1:1
  • 12.09.2022Talleres — Defensa y Justicia1:0
  • 05.10.2021Defensa y Justicia — Talleres3:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →