Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Tigre — Atlético Tucumán

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Model prediction for 24 October

Tigre54%
Draw28%
Atlético Tucumán19%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Tigre are clear favourites: 54% against 19% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 38%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Tigre are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tigre — Atlético Tucumán What is xG?1.3–0.7
Tigre not to lose81%
Atlético Tucumán not to lose46%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes38%
Both teams to score: no62%
Total over 2.533%
Total under 2.567%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Tigre
  • Tigre goals
  • Atlético Tucumán goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Tigre

  • 11.10Banfield1:2
  • 05.10away · Argentinos Juniors1:2
  • 21.09away · Vélez Sarsfield2:3
  • 13.09Rosario Central0:1
  • 05.09away · Gimnasia LP1:2

Atlético Tucumán

  • 10.10away · Gimnasia LP1:1
  • 03.10Barracas Central2:3
  • 21.09away · Aldosivi0:1
  • 17.09away · Independiente Rivadavia1:1
  • 12.09River Plate1:2

Head to head

  • 12.04.2026Atlético Tucumán — Tigre0:0
  • 08.10.2024Atlético Tucumán — Tigre1:2
  • 21.05.2023Tigre — Atlético Tucumán0:0
  • 17.08.2022Tigre — Atlético Tucumán0:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →