Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Banfield — Lanús

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Model prediction for 24 October

Banfield28%
Draw30%
Lanús42%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lanús are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 30%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Lanús are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Banfield — Lanús What is xG?1.1–1.3
Banfield not to lose58%
Lanús not to lose72%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.543%
Total under 2.557%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Banfield
  • Banfield goals
  • Lanús goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Banfield

  • 11.10away · Tigre2:1
  • 06.10Rosario Central1:1
  • 19.09away · Gimnasia LP2:2
  • 15.09Barracas Central1:1
  • 10.09away · Deportivo Riestra1:1

Lanús

  • 12.10Vélez Sarsfield2:0
  • 03.10away · Newell's Old Boys0:0
  • 22.09Estudiantes2:1
  • 15.09away · Deportivo Riestra3:0
  • 06.09Defensa y Justicia1:0

Head to head

  • 14.04.2026Lanús — Banfield1:0
  • 04.11.2025Banfield — Lanús2:1
  • 19.04.2025Lanús — Banfield1:1
  • 01.12.2024Banfield — Lanús0:1
  • 17.07.2023Lanús — Banfield2:2

Full record: 8 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →