Major League Soccer (MLS), round 31 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Houston Dynamo FC — Minnesota United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Houston Dynamo FC are slightly stronger: 41% against 30%, draw 29%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Houston Dynamo FC — No. 10, 45 pts; Minnesota United — No. 25, 30 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
- Houston Dynamo FC: winless in 4; Minnesota United: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Houston Dynamo FC 2 wins, Minnesota United 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Houston Dynamo FC — Minnesota United What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Houston Dynamo FC not to lose | 70% | |
| Minnesota United not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Houston Dynamo FC
- Houston Dynamo FC goals
- Minnesota United goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Minnesota United2:2
- 27.09Sporting Kansas City0:2
- 20.09FC Cincinnati2:2
- 13.09away · San Jose Earthquakes0:1
- 10.09Real Salt Lake2:1
- 11.10Houston Dynamo FC2:2
- 27.09away · Seattle Sounders FC1:3
- 20.09LA Galaxy2:3
- 13.09away · St. Louis City2:4
- 10.09FC Dallas1:2
Head to head
- 11.10.2026Minnesota United — Houston Dynamo FC2:2
- 26.06.2025Minnesota United — Houston Dynamo FC3:1
- 15.05.2025Houston Dynamo FC — Minnesota United2:0
- 14.07.2024Houston Dynamo FC — Minnesota United1:1
- 14.04.2024Minnesota United — Houston Dynamo FC1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | +13 | 42 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
MLS on the same day
- Red Bull New YorkInter Miami CFpreliminary2625502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.9
- Atlanta UnitedChicago Fire FCpreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- DC UnitedFC Cincinnatipreliminary3926351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- Orlando CityNew York City FCpreliminary4228301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Philadelphia UnionNew England Revolutionpreliminary6023181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecapspreliminary3028422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakespreliminary4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Sporting Kansas CityAustin FCpreliminary4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →