Chilean Liga de Primera, round 26 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Huachipato — La Serena
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Huachipato are clear favourites: 50% against 26% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Huachipato are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Huachipato — No. 7, 34 pts; La Serena — No. 11, 30 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Huachipato: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 3 meetings: Huachipato 2 wins, La Serena 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Huachipato — La Serena What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| Huachipato not to lose | 74% | |
| La Serena not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Huachipato
- Huachipato goals
- La Serena goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10O'Higgins2:0
- 03.10away · Universidad de Concepción2:0
- 17.09away · Coquimbo Unido1:0
- 06.09Colo Colo0:0
- 23.08Deportes Limache1:3
- 11.10away · Everton CD2:3
- 13.09Universidad de Chile0:3
- 06.09Ñublense2:1
- 01.09away · Unión La Calera1:0
- 23.08Cobresal3:3
Head to head
- 26.04.2026La Serena — Huachipato0:0
- 24.08.2025La Serena — Huachipato0:2
- 30.03.2025Huachipato — La Serena3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 9 | +2 | 32 |
| 10 | Ñublense | 24 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
| 11 | La Serena | 24 | 7 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 23 | 7 | -5 | 28 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- Colo ColoUniversidad de Concepciónpreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Universidad CatólicaUniversidad de Chilepreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- CobresalEverton CDpreliminary3526402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- Coquimbo UnidoUnión La Calerapreliminary6620141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Deportes LimacheAudax Italianopreliminary4924271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- O'HigginsÑublensepreliminary4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Deportes ConcepciónPalestinopreliminary362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →