English Premier League, round 9 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Hull City — Ipswich Town
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ipswich Town are slightly stronger: 40% against 29%, draw 31%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Hull City — No. 8, 9 pts; Ipswich Town — No. 10, 9 pts.
- Hull City: winless in 5.
- Last 4 meetings: Hull City 0 wins, Ipswich Town 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hull City — Ipswich Town What is xG? | 1.4–1.5 | |
| Hull City not to lose | 60% | |
| Ipswich Town not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hull City
- Hull City goals
- Ipswich Town goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Everton2:2
- 19.09away · Newcastle United1:2
- 12.09away · Chelsea2:2
- 08.09away · Sunderland0:1
- 05.09Aston Villa0:0
- 10.10Fulham2:1
- 19.09away · Everton0:1
- 15.09Arsenal2:4
- 12.09away · Crystal Palace3:2
- 04.09Liverpool0:2
Head to head
- 03.03.2026Ipswich Town — Hull City1:0
- 25.11.2025Hull City — Ipswich Town0:2
- 27.04.2024Hull City — Ipswich Town3:3
- 03.10.2023Ipswich Town — Hull City3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leeds United | 6 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich Town | 6 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 6 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
Premier League on the same day
- ChelseaManchester Unitedpreliminary4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- AFC BournemouthLeeds Unitedpreliminary4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- BrentfordNottingham Forestpreliminary4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Coventry CitySunderlandpreliminary303239XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.8
- Manchester CityBrighton & Hove Albionpreliminary6522131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Tottenham HotspurCrystal Palacepreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- Aston VillaFulhampreliminary4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →