Independiente Rivadavia — Tigre
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Independiente Rivadavia are slightly stronger: 43% against 26%, draw 31%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Tigre: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Independiente Rivadavia 3 wins, Tigre 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Independiente Rivadavia — Tigre What is xG? | 1.2–0.9 | |
| Independiente Rivadavia not to lose | 74% | |
| Tigre not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Independiente Rivadavia
- Independiente Rivadavia goals
- Tigre goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Rosario Central0:5
- 03.10Gimnasia LP1:1
- 22.09away · Barracas Central1:0
- 17.09Atlético Tucumán1:1
- 12.09Aldosivi4:3
- 11.10Banfield1:2
- 05.10away · Argentinos Juniors1:2
- 21.09away · Vélez Sarsfield2:3
- 13.09Rosario Central0:1
- 05.09away · Gimnasia LP1:2
Head to head
- 12.07.2026Independiente Rivadavia — Tigre1:0
- 02.04.2026Tigre — Independiente Rivadavia0:2
- 06.09.2025Tigre — Independiente Rivadavia1:3
- 23.08.2025Tigre — Independiente Rivadavia1:1
- 16.02.2025Independiente Rivadavia — Tigre1:4
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 393130XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.2
- 6821111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 2530452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.2
- 363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →