Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Independiente Rivadavia — Tigre

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 17 October

Independiente Rivadavia43%
Draw31%
Tigre26%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Independiente Rivadavia are slightly stronger: 43% against 26%, draw 31%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Tigre: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Independiente Rivadavia 3 wins, Tigre 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Independiente Rivadavia — Tigre What is xG?1.2–0.9
Independiente Rivadavia not to lose74%
Tigre not to lose57%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.536%
Total under 2.564%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Independiente Rivadavia
  • Independiente Rivadavia goals
  • Tigre goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Independiente Rivadavia

  • 11.10away · Rosario Central0:5
  • 03.10Gimnasia LP1:1
  • 22.09away · Barracas Central1:0
  • 17.09Atlético Tucumán1:1
  • 12.09Aldosivi4:3

Tigre

  • 11.10Banfield1:2
  • 05.10away · Argentinos Juniors1:2
  • 21.09away · Vélez Sarsfield2:3
  • 13.09Rosario Central0:1
  • 05.09away · Gimnasia LP1:2

Head to head

  • 12.07.2026Independiente Rivadavia — Tigre1:0
  • 02.04.2026Tigre — Independiente Rivadavia0:2
  • 06.09.2025Tigre — Independiente Rivadavia1:3
  • 23.08.2025Tigre — Independiente Rivadavia1:1
  • 16.02.2025Independiente Rivadavia — Tigre1:4

Full record: 6 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →