Major League Soccer (MLS), round 28 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Nu Stadium
Inter Miami CF — DC United
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:0Came true
In short
Final score 4:0: the model's most likely outcome, Inter Miami CF to win (57%), came true.
Inter Miami CF are clear favourites: 57% against 20% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Inter Miami CF are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Inter Miami CF — DC United What is xG? | 2.3–1.4 | |
| Inter Miami CF not to lose | 80% | |
| DC United not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF goals
- DC United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 28.09away · Columbus Crew1:2
- 21.09San Diego FC2:2
- 13.09Nashville SC2:2
- 10.09away · Chicago Fire FC1:1
- 06.09Atlanta United2:2
- 27.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps3:3
- 20.09Charlotte FC1:2
- 13.09Atlanta United0:0
- 10.09Columbus Crew2:1
- 30.08Los Angeles FC0:0
Head to head
- 08.03.2026DC United — Inter Miami CF1:2
- 21.09.2025Inter Miami CF — DC United3:2
- 24.08.2025DC United — Inter Miami CF1:1
- 19.05.2024Inter Miami CF — DC United1:0
- 16.03.2024DC United — Inter Miami CF1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
Next matches
- Inter Miami CFNew York City FC15 October · MLS5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- DC UnitedRed Bull New York15 October · MLS4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
MLS on the same day
- 4326301The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:1.3.4
- 4428281The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 4028311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 1:0.3.0
- 3827351The most likely outcome came true: 14:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:0.3.5
- 3728351The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.2
- 6620141The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.3.5
- 2327502The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3227402The most likely outcome did not happen: 23:3Final score 3:3. Model's score: 1:2.3.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →