Major League Soccer (MLS), round 28 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte FC — FC Dallas
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2Came true
In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Charlotte FC to win (44%), came true.
Charlotte FC are slightly stronger: 44% against 28%, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Charlotte FC — FC Dallas What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Charlotte FC not to lose | 72% | |
| FC Dallas not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Charlotte FC
- Charlotte FC goals
- FC Dallas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 27.09Chicago Fire FC0:1
- 20.09away · DC United2:1
- 13.09away · FC Cincinnati3:3
- 10.09away · CF Montréal2:1
- 06.09Houston Dynamo FC0:0
- 27.09Los Angeles FC1:0
- 20.09Austin FC0:0
- 13.09Portland Timbers2:1
- 10.09away · Minnesota United2:1
- 06.09Sporting Kansas City4:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
Next matches
- Columbus CrewCharlotte FC15 October · MLS4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- FC DallasSeattle Sounders FC15 October · MLS3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
MLS on the same day
- 4326301The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:1.3.4
- 5723201The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 1:0.3.7
- 4028311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 1:0.3.0
- 3827351The most likely outcome came true: 14:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:0.3.5
- 3728351The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.2
- 6620141The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.3.5
- 2327502The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3227402The most likely outcome did not happen: 23:3Final score 3:3. Model's score: 1:2.3.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →