Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Nu Stadium
Inter Miami CF — New York City FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Inter Miami CF are clear favourites: 55% against 21% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 69%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Inter Miami CF are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Inter Miami CF — New York City FC What is xG? | 2.1–1.4 | |
| Inter Miami CF not to lose | 79% | |
| New York City FC not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 31% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF goals
- New York City FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10DC United4:0
- 28.09away · Columbus Crew1:2
- 21.09San Diego FC2:2
- 13.09Nashville SC2:2
- 10.09away · Chicago Fire FC1:1
- 10.10away · Chicago Fire FC1:2
- 27.09away · Atlanta United2:2
- 19.09Red Bull New York0:1
- 13.09away · Real Salt Lake2:0
- 10.09New England Revolution1:2
Head to head
- 22.03.2026New York City FC — Inter Miami CF2:3
- 30.11.2025Inter Miami CF — New York City FC5:1
- 25.09.2025New York City FC — Inter Miami CF0:4
- 23.02.2025Inter Miami CF — New York City FC2:2
- 21.09.2024New York City FC — Inter Miami CF1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 18, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Red Bull New York | 28 | 10 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | +4 | 33 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | -3 | 33 |
MLS on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →