UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Chorten Arena
Jagiellonia Białystok — Ararat Armenia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Jagiellonia Białystok are clear favourites: 55% against 21% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Jagiellonia Białystok are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Jagiellonia Białystok — No. 24, 0 pts; Ararat Armenia — No. 32, 0 pts.
- Jagiellonia Białystok: 4 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Jagiellonia Białystok — Ararat Armenia What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Jagiellonia Białystok not to lose | 79% | |
| Ararat Armenia not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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- Handicap Jagiellonia Białystok
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- Ararat Armenia goals
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Form
- 10.10Górnik Zabrze1:3
- 20.09Legia Warszawa1:3
- 16.09away · Olympiacos1:2
- 11.09away · Wisła Kraków0:2
- 06.09Śląsk Wrocław2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 24, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 | NK Celje | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Ararat Armenia | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
Europa League on the same day
- 4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 7217101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- 4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 6221161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 5225241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →