Serie A, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Juventus — Lazio
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Juventus are clear favourites: 69% against 11% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Juventus are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Juventus — No. 6, 11 pts; Lazio — No. 2, 16 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Lazio: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Juventus 1 win, Lazio 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Juventus — Lazio What is xG? | 1.9–0.8 | |
| Juventus not to lose | 89% | |
| Lazio not to lose | 31% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Juventus
- Juventus goals
- Lazio goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Cagliari1:1
- 20.09Atalanta2:0
- 17.09NEC Nijmegen5:0
- 13.09away · Sassuolo2:3
- 06.09Milan1:1
Head to head
- 08.02.2026Juventus — Lazio2:2
- 26.10.2025Lazio — Juventus1:0
- 10.05.2025Lazio — Juventus1:1
- 19.10.2024Juventus — Lazio1:0
- 23.04.2024Lazio — Juventus2:1
Table
Serie A on the same day
- 5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 2428472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 5129211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →