Kazakhstan Premier League, round 30 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Kairat Almaty — FC Altai Oskemen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kairat Almaty are clear favourites: 82% against 6% for the opponent, draw 12%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kairat Almaty are about 1.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Kairat Almaty — No. 2, 60 pts; FC Altai Oskemen — No. 15, 23 pts. A gap of 37 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kairat Almaty — FC Altai Oskemen What is xG? | 2.4–0.6 | |
| Kairat Almaty not to lose | 94% | |
| FC Altai Oskemen not to lose | 18% | |
| No draw | 88% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kairat Almaty
- Kairat Almaty goals
- FC Altai Oskemen goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1:0
- 17.09away · FC Astana0:1
- 13.09Tobol Kostanay1:4
- 09.09Zhenis3:0
- 05.09away · Kaspiy Aktau3:0
- 11.10away · Kaspiy Aktau1:2
- 18.09Irtysh Pavlodar1:2
- 13.09away · Ulytau3:0
- 06.09Kaisar Kyzylorda2:0
- 29.08away · Zhenis0:1
Head to head
- 07.03.2026FC Altai Oskemen — Kairat Almaty0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy Shymkent | 27 | 20 | +36 | 64 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 27 | 18 | +32 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 26 | 14 | +16 | 48 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 27 | 4 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | FC Altai Oskemen | 27 | 5 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 27 | 5 | -19 | 22 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- Irtysh PavlodarOrdabasy Shymkentpreliminary1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- Kaspiy AktauFC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovskpreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Tobol KostanayAktobepreliminary4127321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UlytauAtyraupreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- FC YelimayOkzhetpes Kokshetaupreliminary4825261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- ZhenisKaisar Kyzylordapreliminary5128221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Zhetysu TaldykorganFC Astanapreliminary1322652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →