Kazakhstan Premier League, round 28 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK
Kairat Almaty — Zhetysu Taldykorgan
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1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Kairat Almaty to win (89%), came true.
Kairat Almaty are clear favourites: 89% against 3% for the opponent, draw 8%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kairat Almaty are about 1.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Kairat Almaty 2 wins, Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kairat Almaty — Zhetysu Taldykorgan What is xG? | 2.9–0.5 | |
| Kairat Almaty not to lose | 97% | |
| Zhetysu Taldykorgan not to lose | 11% | |
| No draw | 92% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kairat Almaty
- Kairat Almaty goals
- Zhetysu Taldykorgan goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 17.09away · FC Astana0:1
- 13.09Tobol Kostanay1:4
- 09.09Zhenis3:0
- 05.09away · Kaspiy Aktau3:0
- 31.08away · FC Yelimay2:0
- 18.09Kaspiy Aktau0:1
- 12.09away · FC Yelimay1:2
- 05.09Irtysh Pavlodar1:0
- 29.08away · Ulytau0:3
- 15.08away · Zhenis1:4
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Zhetysu Taldykorgan — Kairat Almaty0:0
- 05.10.2025Kairat Almaty — Zhetysu Taldykorgan5:0
- 14.06.2025Zhetysu Taldykorgan — Kairat Almaty2:2
- 26.10.2024Zhetysu Taldykorgan — Kairat Almaty1:2
- 06.04.2024Kairat Almaty — Zhetysu Taldykorgan0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy Shymkent | 27 | 20 | +36 | 64 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 27 | 18 | +32 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 27 | 15 | +17 | 51 |
| 15 | FC Altai Oskemen | 27 | 5 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 27 | 5 | -19 | 22 |
Next matches
- Riga FCKairat Almaty15 October · Conference League2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Zhetysu TaldykorganKaisar Kyzylorda17 October · Kazakhstan Premier League363033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- 4429271The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 4427291The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:1.2.9
- 2828452The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
- 5129211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 89% will not happen in roughly 11 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →