Kazakhstan Premier League, round 30 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Kaspiy Aktau — FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kaspiy Aktau are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Kaspiy Aktau — No. 10, 32 pts; FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk — No. 11, 28 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 3 meetings: Kaspiy Aktau 0 wins, FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kaspiy Aktau — FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Kaspiy Aktau not to lose | 71% | |
| FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kaspiy Aktau
- Kaspiy Aktau goals
- FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10FC Altai Oskemen2:1
- 18.09away · Zhetysu Taldykorgan1:0
- 12.09Aktobe1:2
- 05.09Kairat Almaty0:3
- 30.08Tobol Kostanay1:0
- 10.10away · Irtysh Pavlodar2:0
- 18.09Kaisar Kyzylorda1:1
- 12.09away · Zhenis1:3
- 05.09Atyrau0:1
- 29.08away · Ordabasy Shymkent0:3
Head to head
- 08.03.2026FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk — Kaspiy Aktau2:1
- 19.08.2023Kaspiy Aktau — FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk1:2
- 22.04.2023FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk — Kaspiy Aktau1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Zhenis | 27 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspiy Aktau | 27 | 9 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk | 27 | 7 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 26 | 5 | -9 | 26 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- Irtysh PavlodarOrdabasy Shymkentpreliminary1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- Kairat AlmatyFC Altai Oskemenpreliminary821261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Tobol KostanayAktobepreliminary4127321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UlytauAtyraupreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- FC YelimayOkzhetpes Kokshetaupreliminary4825261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- ZhenisKaisar Kyzylordapreliminary5128221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Zhetysu TaldykorganFC Astanapreliminary1322652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →