J1 League (Japan), round 11 · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Kawasaki Frontale — Vissel Kobe
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vissel Kobe are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 28%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vissel Kobe are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kawasaki Frontale — Vissel Kobe What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Kawasaki Frontale not to lose | 59% | |
| Vissel Kobe not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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- Kawasaki Frontale goals
- Vissel Kobe goals
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Form
- 11.10Nagoya Grampus1:2
- 19.09Kashima Antlers3:3
- 12.09away · Mito Hollyhock1:0
- 06.09Shimizu S-Pulse3:1
- 02.09away · Machida Zelvia1:2
- 09.10away · Kashiwa Reysol2:4
- 20.09away · Gamba Osaka1:0
- 11.09Kashima Antlers2:1
- 06.09V-Varen Nagasaki3:1
- 02.09away · Tokyo Verdy2:0
Head to head
- 21.06.2025Kawasaki Frontale — Vissel Kobe1:2
- 16.04.2025Vissel Kobe — Kawasaki Frontale2:1
- 07.08.2024Kawasaki Frontale — Vissel Kobe3:0
- 16.06.2024Vissel Kobe — Kawasaki Frontale1:0
- 12.08.2023Kawasaki Frontale — Vissel Kobe0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 9 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
J1 League on the same day
- Avispa FukuokaGamba Osakapreliminary372934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- FC TokyoKashiwa Reysolpreliminary4527281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Kyoto Sanga FCKashima Antlerspreliminary3127422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- Nagoya GrampusCerezo Osakapreliminary4227321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Fagiano Okayama FCMito Hollyhockpreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Shimizu S-PulseMachida Zelviapreliminary2728452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
- V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshimapreliminary1422642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- Yokohama F.MarinosTokyo Verdypreliminary5129211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →