J1 League (Japan), round 11 · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Yokohama F.Marinos — Tokyo Verdy
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Yokohama F.Marinos are clear favourites: 51% against 21% for the opponent, draw 29%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Yokohama F.Marinos are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Yokohama F.Marinos — Tokyo Verdy What is xG? | 1.4–0.8 | |
| Yokohama F.Marinos not to lose | 79% | |
| Tokyo Verdy not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Yokohama F.Marinos
- Yokohama F.Marinos goals
- Tokyo Verdy goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · Cerezo Osaka0:0
- 19.09Mito Hollyhock2:0
- 12.09away · Machida Zelvia1:1
- 06.09away · Kashiwa Reysol2:0
- 02.09Kyoto Sanga FC1:1
- 11.10Sanfrecce Hiroshima0:2
- 19.09away · Urawa Red Diamonds1:3
- 13.09JEF United Chiba1:1
- 06.09away · Cerezo Osaka0:0
- 02.09Vissel Kobe0:2
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Tokyo Verdy — Yokohama F.Marinos0:6
- 28.02.2026Yokohama F.Marinos — Tokyo Verdy3:2
- 09.08.2025Tokyo Verdy — Yokohama F.Marinos1:0
- 05.04.2025Yokohama F.Marinos — Tokyo Verdy0:0
- 29.06.2024Yokohama F.Marinos — Tokyo Verdy1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 9 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 19, Relegation | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | -11 | 5 |
| 20, Relegation | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | -10 | 4 |
J1 League on the same day
- Avispa FukuokaGamba Osakapreliminary372934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- FC TokyoKashiwa Reysolpreliminary4527281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Kawasaki FrontaleVissel Kobepreliminary3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- Kyoto Sanga FCKashima Antlerspreliminary3127422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- Nagoya GrampusCerezo Osakapreliminary4227321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Fagiano Okayama FCMito Hollyhockpreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Shimizu S-PulseMachida Zelviapreliminary2728452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
- V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshimapreliminary1422642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →