Super League Greece, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis
Kifisia FC — Panetolikos
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:0Came true
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Kifisia FC to win (52%), came true.
Kifisia FC are clear favourites: 52% against 20% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kifisia FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Kifisia FC 1 win, Panetolikos 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kifisia FC — Panetolikos What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Kifisia FC not to lose | 80% | |
| Panetolikos not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kifisia FC
- Kifisia FC goals
- Panetolikos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · Atromitos2:1
- 13.09Levadiakos0:0
- 10.09away · Panathinaikos1:3
- 06.09away · OFI Crete0:2
- 30.08AEK Athens1:1
- 20.09PAOK Thessaloniki1:3
- 13.09away · Panathinaikos0:3
- 06.09away · Levadiakos2:0
- 29.08Kalamata2:0
- 23.08Asteras Tripolis3:1
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Panetolikos — Kifisia FC0:1
- 26.04.2026Kifisia FC — Panetolikos0:0
- 09.03.2026Panetolikos — Kifisia FC2:1
- 25.10.2025Kifisia FC — Panetolikos1:1
- 13.04.2024Kifisia FC — Panetolikos0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Iraklis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Kifisia FC | 6 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Kalamata | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
Next matches
- PanetolikosOlympiacos18 October · Greek Super League924672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- Kifisia FCAris Thessaloniki18 October · Greek Super League363233XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
Greek Super League on the same day
- 343432XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:0.2.2
- 6224131The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 6423131The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →