Turkish Super Lig, round 7 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Medaş Konya Büyükşehir Stadyumu

Konyaspor — Başakşehir

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Model prediction and result

0:0Missed
Konyaspor41%
Draw28%
Başakşehir31%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Konyaspor to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.

Konyaspor are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 28%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 64%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Konyaspor 2 wins, Başakşehir 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Konyaspor — Başakşehir What is xG?1.6–1.4
Konyaspor not to lose69%
Başakşehir not to lose59%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes64%
Both teams to score: no36%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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Form

Konyaspor

  • 18.09away · Kasımpaşa0:0
  • 12.09Trabzonspor1:0
  • 05.09away · Erzurumspor FK0:1
  • 29.08Kocaelispor1:2
  • 22.08away · Fenerbahçe2:4

Başakşehir

  • 19.09Gençlerbirliği4:0
  • 13.09away · Amed Sportif0:5
  • 04.09Galatasaray2:3
  • 30.08Kasımpaşa1:1
  • 23.08away · Trabzonspor1:2

Head to head

  • 27.02.2026Başakşehir — Konyaspor2:0
  • 28.09.2025Konyaspor — Başakşehir2:1
  • 05.04.2025Başakşehir — Konyaspor1:0
  • 03.11.2024Konyaspor — Başakşehir3:2
  • 28.01.2024Konyaspor — Başakşehir2:3

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10Rizespor73137–9-210
11Başakşehir722310–11-18
12Gaziantep FK72237–10-38
15Göztepe713315–1506
16, RelegationKonyaspor71244–8-45
17, RelegationSamsunspor71156–15-94

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • Amed SportifKonyaspor17 October · Super Lig
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • BaşakşehirGaziantep FK18 October · Super Lig
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0

Super Lig on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:3. Model's score: 1:0.3.1
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →