Turkish Super Lig, round 7 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Gaziantep Stadyumu
Gaziantep FK — Çorum FK
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In short
Final score 0:3: the model's most likely outcome, Gaziantep FK to win (42%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 42% fails in about 58 matches out of 100 on average.
Gaziantep FK are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gaziantep FK — Çorum FK What is xG? | 1.7–1.4 | |
| Gaziantep FK not to lose | 69% | |
| Çorum FK not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gaziantep FK
- Gaziantep FK goals
- Çorum FK goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · Kocaelispor0:2
- 14.09Fenerbahçe0:0
- 07.09away · Göztepe4:2
- 29.08Rizespor1:2
- 23.08away · Eyüpspor1:0
- 19.09Alanyaspor1:2
- 12.09away · Samsunspor5:1
- 06.09Eyüpspor3:0
- 31.08away · Beşiktaş2:6
- 22.08Kasımpaşa0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gençlerbirliği | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
Next matches
- Çorum FKRizespor16 October · Super Lig4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- BaşakşehirGaziantep FK18 October · Super Lig6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
Super Lig on the same day
- 4128311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.3.1
- 7120101The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →