Polish Ekstraklasa, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Korona Kielce — GKS Katowice
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Korona Kielce are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Korona Kielce are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Korona Kielce — No. 8, 15 pts; GKS Katowice — No. 5, 18 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- GKS Katowice: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Korona Kielce 2 wins, GKS Katowice 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Korona Kielce — GKS Katowice What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Korona Kielce not to lose | 71% | |
| GKS Katowice not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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- Handicap Korona Kielce
- Korona Kielce goals
- GKS Katowice goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Pogoń Szczecin0:2
- 19.09Raków Częstochowa3:2
- 15.09Górnik Zabrze0:2
- 12.09away · Śląsk Wrocław2:1
- 05.09Wisła Kraków1:1
- 12.10Wieczysta Kraków2:1
- 09.10away · Raków Częstochowa4:1
- 19.09Cracovia3:2
- 12.09away · Zagłębie Lubin1:2
- 04.09away · Piast Gliwice0:3
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Korona Kielce — GKS Katowice1:1
- 25.10.2025GKS Katowice — Korona Kielce1:0
- 05.05.2025Korona Kielce — GKS Katowice2:1
- 04.11.2024GKS Katowice — Korona Kielce1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Pogoń Szczecin | 9 | 5 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 10 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Zagłębie Lubin | 10 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Piast GliwiceCracoviapreliminary373132XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.7
- Pogoń SzczecinRadomiak Radompreliminary5924171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Wisła KrakówRaków Częstochowapreliminary5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →