Belgian Cup, playoff · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

KSK Heist — Royal Antwerp

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Model prediction for 17 October

KSK Heist12%
Draw19%
Royal Antwerp69%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Royal Antwerp are clear favourites: 69% against 12% for the opponent, draw 19%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Royal Antwerp are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Royal Antwerp: 5 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: KSK Heist — Royal Antwerp What is xG?0.8–2.3
KSK Heist not to lose31%
Royal Antwerp not to lose88%
No draw81%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.560%
Total under 2.540%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap KSK Heist
  • KSK Heist goals
  • Royal Antwerp goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

KSK Heist

  • 29.10RAAL La Louvière1:2

Royal Antwerp

  • 11.10away · Westerlo1:5
  • 20.09Union St.Gilloise0:2
  • 13.09away · Club Brugge1:3
  • 05.09away · Standard Liège0:1
  • 30.08St.Truiden1:4

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Belgian Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →