Magdeburg — Hannover 96
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In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Hannover 96 to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.
Hannover 96 are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 27%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hannover 96 are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Magdeburg — Hannover 96 What is xG? | 1.6–1.8 | |
| Magdeburg not to lose | 59% | |
| Hannover 96 not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Magdeburg
- Magdeburg goals
- Hannover 96 goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 18.09away · Greuther Fürth1:1
- 12.09Kaiserslautern3:0
- 06.09away · Hertha BSC1:2
- 30.08Holstein Kiel2:0
- 23.08away · Bahlinger SC4:0
- 20.09Bochum2:1
- 11.09away · 1. FC Nürnberg1:2
- 04.09Karlsruher SC2:2
- 30.08away · Darmstadt1:0
- 22.08away · SV Hemelingen9:1
Head to head
- 30.01.2026Magdeburg — Hannover 961:2
- 23.08.2025Hannover 96 — Magdeburg3:1
- 29.03.2025Hannover 96 — Magdeburg0:0
- 27.10.2024Magdeburg — Hannover 960:3
- 31.03.2024Magdeburg — Hannover 960:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Promotion play-offs | FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 | Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 12 | Bochum | 7 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Darmstadt | 7 | 2 | -6 | 7 |
Next matches
- Hannover 96St. Pauli17 October · 2. Bundesliga4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- Dynamo DresdenMagdeburg18 October · 2. Bundesliga3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 4225341The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:2.4.0
- 4026341The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:1.3.7
- 3627372The most likely outcome did not happen: 24:4Final score 4:4. Model's score: 2:3.3.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →