2. Bundesliga, round 7 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Avnet Arena

Magdeburg — Hannover 96

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Model prediction and result

3:0Missed
Magdeburg32%
Draw27%
Hannover 9641%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Hannover 96 to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.

Hannover 96 are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 27%.

3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 68%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Hannover 96 are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Magdeburg — Hannover 96 What is xG?1.6–1.8
Magdeburg not to lose59%
Hannover 96 not to lose68%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes68%
Both teams to score: no32%
Total over 2.565%
Total under 2.535%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Magdeburg
  • Magdeburg goals
  • Hannover 96 goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Magdeburg

  • 18.09away · Greuther Fürth1:1
  • 12.09Kaiserslautern3:0
  • 06.09away · Hertha BSC1:2
  • 30.08Holstein Kiel2:0
  • 23.08away · Bahlinger SC4:0

Hannover 96

  • 20.09Bochum2:1
  • 11.09away · 1. FC Nürnberg1:2
  • 04.09Karlsruher SC2:2
  • 30.08away · Darmstadt1:0
  • 22.08away · SV Hemelingen9:1

Head to head

  • 30.01.2026Magdeburg — Hannover 961:2
  • 23.08.2025Hannover 96 — Magdeburg3:1
  • 29.03.2025Hannover 96 — Magdeburg0:0
  • 27.10.2024Magdeburg — Hannover 960:3
  • 31.03.2024Magdeburg — Hannover 960:3

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Promotion play-offsFC Heidenheim742114–12+214
4Magdeburg741214–9+513
5Wolfsburg733119–12+712
12Bochum72145–7-27
13Hannover 9672147–12-57
14Darmstadt72148–14-67

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • Hannover 96St. Pauli17 October · 2. Bundesliga
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
  • Dynamo DresdenMagdeburg18 October · 2. Bundesliga
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0

2. Bundesliga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →