2. Bundesliga, round 7 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor
Darmstadt — Energie Cottbus
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Darmstadt to win (42%), came true.
Darmstadt are slightly stronger: 42% against 34%, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 77%, both teams to score — 77%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Darmstadt — Energie Cottbus What is xG? | 2.1–1.9 | |
| Darmstadt not to lose | 66% | |
| Energie Cottbus not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 23% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 77% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 23% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Darmstadt
- Darmstadt goals
- Energie Cottbus goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 18.09away · Wolfsburg1:5
- 11.09Arminia Bielefeld2:1
- 05.09away · Kaiserslautern0:3
- 30.08Hannover 960:1
- 23.08away · Carl Zeiss Jena2:1
- 20.09St. Pauli1:1
- 13.09away · Karlsruher SC3:0
- 05.09away · Wolfsburg4:4
- 29.08Greuther Fürth3:4
- 22.08Augsburg0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Darmstadt | 7 | 2 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
Next matches
- Energie Cottbus1. FC Nürnberg16 October · 2. Bundesliga3725382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.7
- Karlsruher SCDarmstadt18 October · 2. Bundesliga4227311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 3227412The most likely outcome did not happen: 23:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 0:1.3.4
- 4026341The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:1.3.7
- 3627372The most likely outcome did not happen: 24:4Final score 4:4. Model's score: 2:3.3.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →