Tanzania Premier League, round 7 · Thursday, 8 October, MSK
Mashujaa — Polisi Tanzania FC
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In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (32%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 32% fails in about 68 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Mashujaa 36%, Polisi Tanzania FC 32%, draw 32%.
The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mashujaa — Polisi Tanzania FC What is xG? | 1.0–0.9 | |
| Mashujaa not to lose | 68% | |
| Polisi Tanzania FC not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 29% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 71% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mashujaa
- Mashujaa goals
- Polisi Tanzania FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 09.09Singida Black Stars2:1
- 04.09away · Dodoma Jiji FC0:1
- 27.08Kagera Sugar2:1
- 23.08away · Mbeya City1:2
- 18.08away · Fountain Gate FC0:1
- 12.09Mbeya City2:0
- 06.09Coastal Union1:2
- 29.08away · Singida Black Stars2:4
- 25.08away · Dodoma Jiji FC1:0
- 20.08JKT Tanzania2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Azam FC | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 7 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
Next matches
- Simba SCMashujaa13 October · Tanzania Premier League871031The most likely outcome came true: 16:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.2
- Kagera SugarPolisi Tanzania FC17 October · Tanzania Premier League3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- 342937XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X4:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 0:0.2.5
- 4131281The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →