Tanzania Premier League, round 8 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK
Simba SC — Mashujaa
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
6:1Came true
In short
Final score 6:1: the model's most likely outcome, Simba SC to win (87%), came true.
Simba SC are clear favourites: 87% against 3% for the opponent, draw 10%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 17%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Simba SC are about 1.8 goals per match stronger.
- Simba SC: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Simba SC — Mashujaa What is xG? | 2.0–0.2 | |
| Simba SC not to lose | 97% | |
| Mashujaa not to lose | 13% | |
| No draw | 90% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 17% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 83% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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- Handicap Simba SC
- Simba SC goals
- Mashujaa goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10Young Africans2:1
- 16.09away · Azam FC2:0
- 31.08Geita Gold FC2:0
- 27.08Coastal Union1:0
- 22.08away · Singida Black Stars2:1
- 08.10Polisi Tanzania FC2:1
- 09.09Singida Black Stars2:1
- 04.09away · Dodoma Jiji FC0:1
- 27.08Kagera Sugar2:1
- 23.08away · Mbeya City1:2
Head to head
- 14.05.2026Mashujaa — Simba SC0:3
- 29.01.2026Simba SC — Mashujaa2:0
- 02.05.2025Simba SC — Mashujaa2:1
- 01.11.2024Mashujaa — Simba SC0:1
- 15.03.2024Simba SC — Mashujaa2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba SC | 8 | 8 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam FC | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
Next matches
- Azam FCMashujaa24 October · Tanzania Premier League · preliminary831341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Fountain Gate FCSimba SC28 October · Tanzania Premier League · preliminary515802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 87% will not happen in roughly 13 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →