Tanzania Premier League, round 8 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Kagera Sugar — Polisi Tanzania FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Polisi Tanzania FC are slightly stronger: 40% against 32%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Polisi Tanzania FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kagera Sugar — Polisi Tanzania FC What is xG? | 1.4–1.6 | |
| Kagera Sugar not to lose | 60% | |
| Polisi Tanzania FC not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kagera Sugar
- Kagera Sugar goals
- Polisi Tanzania FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Mbeya City3:1
- 13.09Fountain Gate FC1:1
- 31.08Azam FC0:2
- 27.08away · Mashujaa1:2
- 22.08away · Geita Gold FC2:6
- 08.10away · Mashujaa1:2
- 12.09Mbeya City2:0
- 06.09Coastal Union1:2
- 29.08away · Singida Black Stars2:4
- 25.08away · Dodoma Jiji FC1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 7 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →