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Botola Pro (Morocco), round 3 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Saniat Rmel Stadium

MAT Tetouan — FUS Rabat

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Model prediction and result

0:0Came true
MAT Tetouan28%
Draw33%
FUS Rabat40%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (33%), came true.

FUS Rabat are slightly stronger: 40% against 28%, draw 33%.

1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 40%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FUS Rabat are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • MAT Tetouan: winless in 4; FUS Rabat: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: MAT Tetouan 1 win, FUS Rabat 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: MAT Tetouan — FUS Rabat What is xG?0.9–1.1
MAT Tetouan not to lose60%
FUS Rabat not to lose72%
No draw67%
Both teams to score: yes40%
Both teams to score: no60%
Total over 2.531%
Total under 2.569%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap MAT Tetouan
  • MAT Tetouan goals
  • FUS Rabat goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

MAT Tetouan

  • 02.10away · Ittihad Tanger1:1
  • 27.09RS Berkane0:0
  • 11.05Salmi0:3
  • 08.05away · FAR Rabat1:2
  • 04.05Renaissance Club Zemamra3:0

FUS Rabat

  • 02.10US Amal Tiznit0:1
  • 26.09away · Union Touarga Sport1:2
  • 05.07Union Yacoub El-Mansour0:1
  • 02.07away · Renaissance Club Zemamra1:1
  • 28.06RS Berkane2:1

Head to head

  • 23.04.2025FUS Rabat — MAT Tetouan2:2
  • 30.11.2024MAT Tetouan — FUS Rabat0:2
  • 21.02.2024FUS Rabat — MAT Tetouan1:1
  • 05.10.2023MAT Tetouan — FUS Rabat2:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11RS Berkane30302–203
12MAT Tetouan30301–103
13, Relegation play-offDifaâ El Jadida31027–10-33
14, Relegation play-offUS Amal Tiznit31024–8-43
15, RelegationFUS Rabat40222–4-22
16, RelegationRenaissance Club Zemamra40135–10-51

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • FUS RabatRaja Casablanca13 October · Botola Pro
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.1.9
  • Difaâ El JadidaMAT Tetouan17 October · Botola Pro
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →