Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Minnesota United — Sporting Kansas City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Minnesota United are clear favourites: 63% against 16% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Minnesota United are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Minnesota United — No. 25, 30 pts; Sporting Kansas City — No. 30, 22 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Minnesota United: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Minnesota United 3 wins, Sporting Kansas City 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Minnesota United — Sporting Kansas City What is xG? | 2.3–1.2 | |
| Minnesota United not to lose | 84% | |
| Sporting Kansas City not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Minnesota United
- Minnesota United goals
- Sporting Kansas City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Houston Dynamo FC2:2
- 27.09away · Seattle Sounders FC1:3
- 20.09LA Galaxy2:3
- 13.09away · St. Louis City2:4
- 10.09FC Dallas1:2
- 11.10Portland Timbers3:3
- 02.10away · Seattle Sounders FC1:2
- 27.09away · Houston Dynamo FC2:0
- 20.09Philadelphia Union3:4
- 13.09Los Angeles FC3:1
Head to head
- 23.07.2026Sporting Kansas City — Minnesota United2:1
- 05.10.2025Minnesota United — Sporting Kansas City3:0
- 16.03.2025Sporting Kansas City — Minnesota United3:3
- 22.09.2024Sporting Kansas City — Minnesota United0:2
- 02.06.2024Minnesota United — Sporting Kansas City3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | -33 | 22 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary6221171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.1
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Toronto FCDC Unitedpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary363035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.7
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4030311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →