Tanzania Premier League, round 7 · Thursday, 8 October, MSK
Namungo FC — TRA United
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Namungo FC to win (41%), came true.
Namungo FC are slightly stronger: 41% against 28%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 37%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Namungo FC: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Namungo FC 1 win, TRA United 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Namungo FC — TRA United What is xG? | 1.0–0.8 | |
| Namungo FC not to lose | 72% | |
| TRA United not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 63% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 29% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 71% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Namungo FC
- Namungo FC goals
- TRA United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.09away · Dodoma Jiji FC0:1
- 07.09away · Azam FC0:2
- 01.09away · Singida Black Stars2:3
- 29.08away · JKT Tanzania1:2
- 25.08Fountain Gate FC1:0
- 13.09away · Pamba Jiji3:1
- 04.09Mbeya City0:0
- 29.08Dodoma Jiji FC0:1
- 24.08away · Coastal Union1:1
- 20.08away · Azam FC1:2
Head to head
- 16.06.2026Namungo FC — TRA United0:0
- 11.03.2026TRA United — Namungo FC2:0
- 05.02.2025TRA United — Namungo FC2:1
- 25.08.2024Namungo FC — TRA United1:2
- 28.05.2024Namungo FC — TRA United3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo FC | 8 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Geita Gold FC | 7 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
Next matches
- TRA UnitedYoung Africans24 October · Tanzania Premier League · preliminary821712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.2
- Namungo FCCoastal Union24 October · Tanzania Premier League · preliminary4231271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- 363232XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:1.1.9
- 342937XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X4:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 0:0.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →